tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 82%

  1. 19:50 SMF → 21:45 PHX
    WN 4285 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 PHX → 05:10 MDW +1 day
    WN 3298 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 20mSMF 19:50 to MDW 05:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.