tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:35 TUL → 07:05 PHX
    WN 4287 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHX → 13:50 SEA
    WN 814 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 15mTUL 06:35 to SEA 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.