tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via San Diego: arrives on time 84%

  1. 16:40 SMF → 18:10 SAN
    WN 4292 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:00 SAN → 06:26 JFK +1 day
    DL 709 · Delta · 5h 26m · 87% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 46mSMF 16:40 to JFK 06:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.