tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Denver via Baltimore: arrives on time 25%

  1. 17:45 CLE → 19:05 BWI
    WN 4295 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 51% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 BWI → 22:00 DEN
    WN 4214 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 71% on time, 8.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (8.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 15mCLE 17:45 to DEN 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.