tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Detroit via Nashville: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:30 BHM → 06:30 BNA
    WN 430 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:06 BNA → 12:46 DTW
    DL 2682 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 19mBHM 05:30 to DTW 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.