tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Chicago via Nashville: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:30 BHM → 06:30 BNA
    WN 430 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:04 BNA → 11:00 ORD
    AA 3973 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 30mBHM 05:30 to ORD 11:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.