tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Orlando via Nashville: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:30 BHM → 06:30 BNA
    WN 430 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 BNA → 12:10 MCO
    WN 4712 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 40mBHM 05:30 to MCO 12:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.