tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Philadelphia via Nashville: arrives on time 69%

  1. 05:30 BHM → 06:30 BNA
    WN 430 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 95% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 BNA → 13:20 PHL
    WN 623 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 50mBHM 05:30 to PHL 13:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.