tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albuquerque → Baltimore via Phoenix: arrives on time 34%

  1. 21:15 ABQ → 21:30 PHX
    WN 4317 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 37% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 PHX → 05:40 BWI +1 day
    WN 1170 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 2 h ahead of Albuquerque). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 25mABQ 21:15 to BWI 05:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.