tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 25%

  1. 14:40 BHM → 17:40 BWI
    WN 432 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 56% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 BWI → 22:00 MDW
    WN 999 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 28% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip7h 20mBHM 14:40 to MDW 22:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.