tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New Orleans → Boston via Nashville: arrives on time 13%

  1. 18:15 MSY → 19:45 BNA
    WN 4344 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 BNA → 00:55 BOS +1 day
    WN 459 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of New Orleans). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip4h 55mMSY 18:15 to BOS 00:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.