tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:25 MSP → 11:55 MDW
    WN 4345 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:18 MDW → 16:12 LAS
    WN 2795 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 71% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 48mMSP 10:25 to LAS 16:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.