tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Norfolk via Baltimore: arrives on time 14%

  1. 14:15 FLL → 16:45 BWI
    WN 4355 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 57% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 BWI → 18:35 ORF
    WN 1039 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip4h 20mFLL 14:15 to ORF 18:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.