tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Austin via Las Vegas: arrives on time 39%

  1. 14:20 STL → 15:45 LAS
    WN 4359 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 LAS → 21:35 AUS
    WN 2184 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 15mSTL 14:20 to AUS 21:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.