tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Myrtle Beach → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 19:15 MYR → 20:20 MDW
    WN 4367 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 56% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 MDW → 23:00 MSP
    WN 4085 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 56% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip4h 45mMYR 19:15 to MSP 23:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.