tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:10 BUR → 19:20 LAS
    WN 4370 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 LAS → 21:40 SJC
    WN 2352 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 70% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 30mBUR 18:10 to SJC 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.