tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Denver via San Antonio: arrives on time 10%

  1. 15:22 BNA → 17:42 SAT
    WN 4371 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Antonio (SAT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 SAT → 20:00 DEN
    WN 3568 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection19%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 81% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (19%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 38mBNA 15:22 to DEN 20:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.