tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Rochester via Orlando: arrives on time 26%

  1. 12:48 BWI → 15:10 MCO
    WN 4374 · Southwest · 2h 22m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:10 MCO → 19:00 ROC
    WN 2693 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip6h 12mBWI 12:48 to ROC 19:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.