tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 64%

  1. 05:10 LAX → 11:10 MDW
    WN 4398 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 MDW → 15:30 BUF
    WN 1655 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 20mLAX 05:10 to BUF 15:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.