tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Kansas City via Dallas: arrives on time 21%

  1. 16:32 LGA → 19:38 DAL
    WN 4401 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 52% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DAL → 22:10 MCI
    WN 4257 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip6h 33mLGA 16:32 to MCI 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.