tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Jose via Long Beach: arrives on time 52%

  1. 13:15 MDW → 15:30 LGB
    WN 4413 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 69% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Long Beach (LGB) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 LGB → 17:45 SJC
    WN 4307 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 30mMDW 13:15 to SJC 17:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.