tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sacramento via Long Beach: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:15 MDW → 15:30 LGB
    WN 4413 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 69% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Long Beach (LGB) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:38 LGB → 18:02 SMF
    WN 4897 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 48mMDW 13:15 to SMF 18:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.