tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:05 SBA → 06:30 LAS
    WN 4422 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 LAS → 15:42 ORD
    AA 2020 · American · 4h 02m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 37mSBA 05:05 to ORD 15:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.