tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Nashville: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:30 SRQ → 19:25 BNA
    WN 4425 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 BNA → 19:10 MDW
    WN 578 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip5h 40mSRQ 18:30 to MDW 19:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.