tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Ontario via Phoenix: arrives on time 17%

  1. 19:35 AUS → 20:00 PHX
    WN 4426 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 PHX → 22:10 ONT
    WN 2862 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip4h 35mAUS 19:35 to ONT 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.