tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → San Francisco via Phoenix: arrives on time 21%

  1. 19:35 AUS → 20:00 PHX
    WN 4426 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PHX → 23:25 SFO
    WN 4101 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 25% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (25%).
Total trip5h 50mAUS 19:35 to SFO 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.