tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Hartford via Baltimore: arrives on time 45%

  1. 10:55 DEN → 16:20 BWI
    WN 4434 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:10 BWI → 18:30 BDL
    WN 428 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 68% on time, 12.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 2 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (12.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 35mDEN 10:55 to BDL 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.