tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sacramento via Denver: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:05 BWI → 07:50 DEN
    WN 4436 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 DEN → 10:25 SMF
    WN 1739 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 20mBWI 06:05 to SMF 10:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.