tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 16%

  1. 20:05 DEN → 21:00 PHX
    WN 4447 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 PHX → 23:05 SAN
    WN 3426 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 1 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 02mDEN 20:05 to SAN 23:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.