tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 14%

  1. 16:42 DTW → 17:48 DEN
    WN 4450 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 DEN → 19:50 PHX
    WN 1683 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 29% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip6h 13mDTW 16:42 to PHX 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.