tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Los Angeles via Denver: arrives on time 5%

  1. 16:42 DTW → 17:48 DEN
    WN 4450 · Southwest · 3h 05m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 DEN → 20:15 LAX
    WN 2217 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 16% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time5%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (16%).
Total trip6h 33mDTW 16:42 to LAX 20:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.