tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → San Antonio via San Diego: arrives on time 11%

  1. 18:15 MCI → 19:35 SAN
    WN 4457 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SAN → 01:12 SAT +1 day
    WN 3530 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 29% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip7h 00mMCI 18:15 to SAT 01:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.