tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 27%

  1. 18:15 MCI → 19:35 SAN
    WN 4457 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 SAN → 22:45 SMF
    WN 3551 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 34% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip6h 25mMCI 18:15 to SMF 22:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.