tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:35 BNA → 20:48 ATL
    WN 446 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:59 ATL → 00:31 TPA +1 day
    DL 1560 · Delta · 1h 32m · 72% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 56mBNA 18:35 to TPA 00:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.