tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:35 BNA → 20:48 ATL
    WN 446 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:00 ATL → 23:24 MEM
    DL 2501 · Delta · 1h 25m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 50mBNA 18:35 to MEM 23:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.