tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → San Diego via Las Vegas: arrives on time 14%

  1. 16:35 FAT → 17:50 LAS
    WN 4461 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 LAS → 20:10 SAN
    WN 2330 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 28% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (28%).
Total trip3h 35mFAT 16:35 to SAN 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.