tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Dallas via Houston: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:40 TPA → 14:00 HOU
    WN 4468 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 HOU → 16:10 DAL
    WN 36 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 30mTPA 12:40 to DAL 16:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.