tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Las Vegas via Sacramento: arrives on time 83%

  1. 12:25 BWI → 15:00 SMF
    WN 4476 · Southwest · 5h 35m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:28 SMF → 19:59 LAS
    F9 2070 · Frontier · 1h 29m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 32mBWI 12:25 to LAS 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.