tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Burbank via Sacramento: arrives on time 74%

  1. 12:25 BWI → 15:00 SMF
    WN 4476 · Southwest · 5h 35m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:38 SMF → 19:52 BUR
    WN 3360 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip10h 28mBWI 12:25 to BUR 19:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.