tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Santa Ana via Sacramento: arrives on time 75%

  1. 12:25 BWI → 15:00 SMF
    WN 4476 · Southwest · 5h 35m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 SMF → 20:00 SNA
    WN 3834 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip10h 35mBWI 12:25 to SNA 20:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.