tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 15:35 DCA → 16:45 MDW
    WN 4479 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 62% on time, 15.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MDW → 22:10 PWM
    WN 4272 · Southwest · 2h 18m · 53% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (15.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 38mDCA 15:35 to PWM 22:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.