tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via San Diego: arrives on time 89%

  1. 17:15 RNO → 18:55 SAN
    WN 4485 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SAN → 04:40 MDW +1 day
    WN 257 · Southwest · 4h 00m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 25mRNO 17:15 to MDW 04:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.