tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 29%

  1. 13:45 HOU → 14:55 SAN
    WN 4486 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:55 SAN → 18:33 OAK
    AS 2190 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 38m · 49% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 48mHOU 13:45 to OAK 18:33, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.