tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via San Diego: arrives on time 26%

  1. 13:45 HOU → 14:55 SAN
    WN 4486 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 SAN → 17:30 SMF
    WN 4464 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 45mHOU 13:45 to SMF 17:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.