tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Oakland via San Diego: arrives on time 26%

  1. 13:45 HOU → 14:55 SAN
    WN 4486 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 SAN → 17:50 OAK
    WN 4842 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 05mHOU 13:45 to OAK 17:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.