tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Buffalo via Nashville: arrives on time 37%

  1. 05:05 LAX → 11:10 BNA
    WN 4492 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:15 BNA → 16:00 BUF
    WN 4728 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 37% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip7h 55mLAX 05:05 to BUF 16:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.