tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Dallas via Houston: arrives on time 21%

  1. 19:35 MCO → 21:00 HOU
    WN 4493 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 35% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 HOU → 23:10 DAL
    WN 64 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 35mMCO 19:35 to DAL 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.