tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Philadelphia via Orlando: arrives on time 87%

  1. 23:05 PHX → 06:20 MCO
    WN 4508 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:40 MCO → 11:16 PHL +1 day
    AA 629 · American · 2h 36m · 92% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 11mPHX 23:05 to PHL 11:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.