tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Charlotte via Orlando: arrives on time 90%

  1. 23:05 PHX → 06:20 MCO
    WN 4508 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:38 MCO → 11:34 CLT +1 day
    F9 1446 · Frontier · 1h 54m · 92% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 27mPHX 23:05 to CLT 11:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.