tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Columbus via Orlando: arrives on time 86%

  1. 23:05 PHX → 06:20 MCO
    WN 4508 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 81% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 MCO → 12:15 CMH +1 day
    WN 1187 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 10mPHX 23:05 to CMH 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.